NFL Week 12 predictions, best bets: Picks against the spread for every

NFL Week 12 predictions, best bets: Picks against the spread for every…

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The Jets are again in the same spot they had been for last Thursday evening’s game, listed as 13.5-point underdogs. 

The Jets narrowly coated the spread in a competitive 27-14 loss to the Patriots (although the result landed as a push in our Post contest, which captured the line as of Wednesday evening).

On Sunday in Baltimore, the Jets again are +13.5, this time against the Ravens. It’s the similar quantity, however there are some variations in the conditions. The Patriots entered that game on an enormous roll, 8-2 straight up, first seed in the AFC, and 7-3 against the spread. Their quarterback, Drake Maye, is among the favorites for MVP. 

The Ravens are coming to this large minus quantity from another path. They’ve received 4 in a row to get again to .500 after a disastrous 1-5 start during which many of their best gamers had been injured. But while the Patriots’ -13.5 was wholly earned, it feels as if some of the Ravens’ -13.5 is still on spec — an expectation of what they need to be when healthy.

There are a few encouraging issues about the Jets as they trudge by means of their fifteenth playoff-less season in a row. 

1. They’re protecting spreads. They are 6-4 ATS this season and have a shot at a profitable report against the quantity for the first time since 2017. Adam Gase, Robert Saleh, and Jeff Ulbrich couldn’t do it. Aaron Glenn would possibly.

2. I’m not inside the partitions at 1 Jets Drive. I watch the games on TV and read the coverage like all of you. But my sense is that Glenn still has the gamers engaged and targeted each week. The enthusiasm didn’t appear to wane after the trades of Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams. 

If the Jets can get some competent quarterback play from Tyrod Taylor, who replaces Justin Fields, and heaven assist ’em, get a turnover or two, they will repay as large underdogs for a second week in a row.

The choose: Jets +13.5. 

New York Giants (+10.5) over DETROIT LIONS

Like the Jets, the Giants are a team that’s been protecting spreads this season despite a nasty straight-up report. They have taken backers to the (now largely proverbial) window in 4 of the past six weeks, and those payouts got here against some of the top competitors in the NFL.

The Giants coated of their victory over the Eagles and in losses to the Broncos, Bears and Packers. They may have, even ought to have, received those last three. All 4 of those groups are in playoff place.

The Lions likewise are 6-4 against the spread, which matches their total report. They have 5 wins this season by 13 factors or more and are definitely able to chopping up the Giants protection and leaving it in small items all over the Ford Field carpet.

But Detroit has a cluster of accidents in the offensive line and secondary, and Jameis Winston ought to have better continuity in his second start for interim coach Mike Kafka. There appears to be sufficient life in this Giants team to maintain the injury to single digits and perhaps even give the Lions a scare.

New York Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart runs out of the pocket. Charles Wenzelberg / New York Post

Minnesota Vikings (+6.5) over GREEN BAY PACKERS

J.J. McCarthy is playing at a bottom-tier level and now has to go to Lambeau Field, the place the Packers protection can terrorize a shaky quarterback. I get that, however I’m questioning about a Pack offense that scored 13 and 7 factors in latest house losses to the Panthers (at -13.5!) and Eagles, respectively. Tucker Kraft is out, and there are numerous Qs on the injury report for Josh Jacobs and the receivers. 

Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) over CHICAGO BEARS

This line has been teetering between 2.5 and three on the Aaron Rodgers wrist injury. The Bears are 7-3, however that lofty mark contains one-point survivals vs. the lowly Commanders and Raiders and a four-point near-miracle win over the Giants. 

Aaron Rodgers #8 of the Pittsburgh Steelers warms up previous to a game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Acrisure Stadium on November 16, 2025 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Getty Images

New England Patriots (-6) over CINCINNATI BENGALS

Joe Burrow was training midweek and aiming to return. Even if he does, he received’t have Ja’Marr Chase, suspended for last week’s spitting incident. Mike Vrabel’s Patriots are a no-nonsense bunch with a quarterback in Maye who could make mincemeat out of a Bengals protection that ranks last in yards and factors allowed by telescopic margins. 

TENNESSEE TITANS (+13) over Seattle Seahawks

This is the third double-digit spread on the board, and I’m taking all of those factors, this time on a house underdog. This can be a tough one to look at because Seattle’s a lot better, but it surely’s an enormous spread on a low-total gam,e and that’s often a pleasant mixture of circumstances for a bettor. Also questioning if the Rams put a little bit of a dent in Sam Darnold’s confidence with the 4 interceptions last week.

Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs. Getty Images

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-3.5) over Indianapolis Colts

This is the place we discover out if Daniel Jones and the Colts are for real. At Arrowhead, vs. Steve Spagnuolo’s blitzes, Patrick Mahomes on the other aspect. Indy cut up two games at SoFi against the Rams and Chargers, however the closest factor to a hostile setting was in Pittsburgh, which was Jones’ worst game.

Cleveland Browns (+4) over LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

It was form of unhappy watching Ashton Jeanty attempt to lean out of the end zone on a security against the Cowboys on Monday evening. He wouldn’t have damaged the tape in a race. Figuring Myles Garrett and the Browns protection may have a good time in Vegas and perhaps even assist Shedeur Sanders with the scoring. 

Shedeur Sanders will make his first NFL start in Las Vegas against the Raiders on Sunday.
Scott Galvin-Imagn Images Scott Galvin-Imagn Images

ARIZONA CARDINALS (+3) over Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jags are 6-4 and have had their moments, such as last week’s destruction of the Chargers. Yet they’re the same team that per week earlier blew a 29-10 lead in the fourth quarter to the Texans’ backup quarterback. Can’t say I’d belief them as a street favourite against anybody.

Philadelphia Eagles (-3) over DALLAS COWBOYS

Cowboys had been full of emotion in crushing the Raiders in the first game after Marshawn Kneeland’s dying. Now they’ve a brief week to get again to enterprise against the Eagles. While it might be too shut for consolation — keep in mind, Dallas virtually received the season opener in Philly — we’re getting 1.5 factors of worth from -4.5 earlier in the week.

Atlanta Falcons quarterback Kirk Cousins (18) appears to cross in the fourth quarter at Bank of America Stadium. Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-2) over Atlanta Falcons

Kirk Cousins is in, and Drake London is out for the Falcons, whose season has been principally a catastrophe. Tyler Shough can’t wait to get at an Atlanta protection that allowed 448 yards passing to Bryce Young.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) over LOS ANGELES RAMS

This spread is only one score — one Matthew Stafford flip to Puka Nacua or Davante Adams. Yet it still looks like a reasonably big quantity to be laying against Baker Mayfield and whoever is left of his injury-ravaged supporting forged. It took an all-time performance by Josh Allen to beat the Bucs by 12 last week. 

Betting on the NFL?

Monday

Carolina Panthers (+7) over SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

Might as effectively seize the last landing’s price of factors supplied on the card. Carolina figures to have its most balanced offense of the season as Young is changing into a viable passing choice to enhance Rico Dowdell’s floor yards. The 49ers protection ranks last in the NFL in stress fee, according to PFF, which may assist maintain the backdoor open if the Panthers fall behind.

BEST BETS: Browns, Patriots, Chiefs.

LOCK OF THE WEEK: Browns (Locks 4-7 in 2025).

LAST WEEK: 8-5-2 total, 2-1 Best Bets.

THURSDAY: Bills.

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