NFL Week 18 predictions: Picks, best bets against the spread Sunday…
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The Post’s Erich Richter makes his picks for Sunday’s NFL Week 18 slate.
SUNDAY
GIANTS (+3.5) over Cowboys
It pains me to say it, however the Giants are going to beat the Cowboys and get caught with a decide exterior the top 5. Perhaps this is Jerry Jones’ diabolical plan to wreck the Giants’ draft place, as Dak Prescott appears more likely to be on pitch depend on Sunday. Jaxson Dart and the Giants win a significant game for the future of the team, however followers will need to vomit after they see the score.
New York Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart (6) speaks at a press convention when the New York Giants practiced Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at Quest Diagnostics Training Center in East Rutherford, NJ. Robert Sabo for NY Post
BILLS (-6.5) over Jets
The line has come down considerably, and while the Bills don’t have a ton to play for on Sunday, they need to still be taking it considerably significantly. Buffalo is undoubtedly seeking to keep away from the No. 7 seed in the AFC, and a win would lock in the No. 6 seed and will put them as high as No. 5 with a little bit of assist. The Jets most likely wouldn’t beat the Indiana Hoosiers by more than two scores this week anyway.
FALCONS (-3.5 ) over Saints
The Saints have lined 5 straight against the spread, one thing I’ve been on all yr relationship again to when Spencer Rattler was beginning at quarterback. The last time that these two confronted off was Nov. 23 against this same Falcons squad, the place the Saints didn’t cowl in a 24-10 loss. Atlanta has performed effectively sufficient of late, and the Saints are still No. 28 in DVOA while the Falcons are No. 18. This is the proper time to promote on New Orleans without Chris Olave.
BENGALS (-7.5) over Browns
The Browns are a different team on the highway than they’re at dwelling. Cleveland is placing up just 4.1 yards per play on the highway, the worst in the NFL. And while they’re the No. 3 protection in general YPP allowed, on the highway, they’re considerably worse (5.1 YPP allowed on the highway vs. 4.3 YPP allowed at dwelling). The Bengals, while they’re eradicated, look like upset with possession and are taking it out on the opponents.
VIKINGS (-7.5 ) over Packers
The Packers don’t care about this game in any respect, and the vibes had been unhealthy before they determined to start Clayton Tune this week. Tune threw an interception last week against the Ravens in very restricted work, one thing that must be music to Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores’ ears. Flores and the Vikings wish to put good game movie out there, and Tune goes to be their toy to jobs next yr.
Titans (+13.5) over JAGUARS
The Titans are playing effectively sufficient to again them against a stable Jaguars team as practically two landing underdogs. The Titans are averaging 5.3 yards per play over their last three games, a big enchancment from the 4.4 they’re averaging this season. The Jaguars are using high, however 13.5 is just too big a quantity in this matchup.
AP
TEXANS (-10.5) over Colts
The Colts are all the way down to quarterback No. 4 on the season after Daniel Jones, Anthony Richardson, and Philip Rivers got their strolling papers. In steps Riley Leonard, who wasn’t a lot of a passer with Notre Dame and could have the Texans’ cross rush in his face for the entire afternoon. Don’t be shocked if backup Seth Henigan will get some action while serving as the team’s backup. Rivers is the emergency third-string sign caller, so that you’re not anticipating any competent play on Sunday.
BRONCOS (-12.5) over Chargers
Justin Herbert is out after main the league in quarterback hits this yr. Los Angeles has given up hope of avoiding the No. 7 seed, which might put the Chargers on a date against the Patriots. Denver locks up the No. 1 seed with a win, and given the Chargers are sitting most of their starters, I feel L.A. will roll over against Denver with tons on the line.
BEARS (-3) over Lions
Everyone hates the Bears. We know the Lions will take this game significantly, however the Bears will too, and their personnel is playing the best soccer they’ve all season. The Bears are averaging 6.4 YPP of their last three games, good for fourth-best in the NFL. The Lions rank third in that space for the season, however is all the way down to twenty third of their last three games. Detroit is playing unhealthy soccer and never price your cash.
Head coach Ben Johnson of the Chicago Bears appears on against the San Francisco 49ers during the first quarter of the game at Levi’s Stadium on December 28, 2025 in Santa Clara, California. Getty Images
Chiefs (-5.5) over RAIDERS
This is a tank off between two groups that couldn’t care less on Sunday. Las Vegas desires the No. 1 general decide and have gone to excessive lengths to make that a actuality. Kansas City seems to be taking this game no less than considerably significantly on protection. The Chiefs are permitting 4.8 YPP of their last three games, good for No. 5 in the NFL and about the only respectable factor about this game.
Cardinals (+7.5) over RAMS
By the time this game kicks off, the Rams might don’t have anything to play for so far as seeding. If the 49ers beat the Seahawks at dwelling on Saturday evening, Los Angeles will probably be locked into the No. 6 seed in the NFC.
So maybe the Rams need to give Matthew Stafford a shot at the NFL MVP award and pad his stats, however I don’t count on most of their regulars to play a full game. Cardinals finally cowl even in the event that they go down big in the first half.
PATRIOTS (-10.5) over Dolphins
The Dolphins have performed fairly effectively lately, however the Patriots wish to seize the No. 1 seed, as the Broncos will probably be playing at the same time against the Chargers. Drake Maye will want a strong performance to maintain the NFL MVP award wrestled away from Matthew Stafford. They must be in search of another blowout during their impossibly simple schedule.
Betting on the NFL?
EAGLES (-4) over Commanders
The Eagles ran up the score against the Commanders last time they performed, and if they’d a more competent quarterback, I’d be positive concentrating on them right here. But 4 factors is just too low of a spread on the highway with Josh Johnson beginning.
My mannequin has the Eagles favored by a landing and while there may be concern about how significantly Philadelphia will take this game, they need to use this game to organize for the playoffs fairly than punt it to next week.
STEELERS +3.5 over Ravens
TJ Watt returns for the Steelers in this winner-take-all matchup in Pittsburgh. Frankly, if Tyler Huntley was beginning for the Ravens, I’d be more intrigued by Baltimore, however will probably be Lamar Jackson who’s clearly less than 100%.
Aaron Rodgers #8 of the Pittsburgh Steelers reacts while playing the Cleveland Browns in the fourth quarter at Huntington Bank Field on December 28, 2025 in Cleveland, Ohio. Getty Images
It’s the same purpose the (*18*) have been not possible to focus on the last few weeks: their quarterbacks aren’t healthy. Aaron Rodgers goes to the playoffs and John Harbaugh’s seat just obtained hotter.
Last week: 5-6
Season: 110-115-5
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt however he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the soccer season he’s showcased large earnings at The Post in the participant prop market the last two seasons. While always betting lengthy pictures, his return on funding is 30.15 p.c since 2022.
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