Odds, picks, best bet for key SEC clash…
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There’s loads to return out in the wash when No. 8 Ole Miss visits No. 13 Oklahoma for the first time in historical past on Saturday.
It’s what pundits tab as a battle between hearth and ice; one thing must give between Ole Miss’ top-five offense and Oklahoma’s No. 1 ranked protection.
Oklahoma has reached 6-1 by means of construction and self-discipline. It’s the nation’s best in EPA and success price by means of thriving on depth and rotation.
Texas A&M vs. LSU odds, prediction
The steam on Oklahoma pushed the line a point of their favor since opening at 4.5, indicating confidence in Brent Venables’ construction being the dominant consider tempo dictation.
The Sooners lead the SEC with 28 sacks and rank within the top-20 general in whole pressures due to the relentless R. Mason Thomas, who has netted the third-most QB takedowns in the convention. Overall, the Sooners have 10 gamers who’ve recorded at the very least one sack.
Where Venables’ construction is most efficient is the pink zone; opponents have scored a landing on just 36 % of journeys inside the 20. This has translated to 4 of the Sooners’ seven opponents having scored seven factors or fewer.
Brent Venables stingy and dynamic protection is a key aspect to this matchup against a risky offense like Ole Miss. Getty Images
But this powder-keg Rebels assault is a check that Oklahoma has yet to face — it has yet to take care of an opponent that ranks inside the top 35 in offensive effectivity. Lane Kiffin’s balanced and unpredictable scheme is averaging about 500 yards and is churning out explosive performs in the nation’s top 15.
Trinidad Chambliss’ dual-threat skills are potent sufficient to stretch Oklahoma’s self-discipline; he leads the SEC with 9.6 yards per try. There’s a laundry checklist of gamers behind him, specifically operating again Kewan Lacy and a three-headed monster receiving corps, that I may dive into in expressing just how vertically aggressive the Rebels are.
The Rebels’ tempo could be too fast for their very own good though. Kiffin’s offense scores rapidly and thrives when the game turns into a 40-yard sprint, however that type has uncovered the protection when drives stall. We noticed this last week when Ole Miss led 35-26 in the fourth quarter before a soften down that grew to become a 43-35 loss.
Betting on College Football?
Ole Miss was incapable of forcing a single cease, and the Bulldogs scored on every possession until kneeling out the clock.
The Rebels protection has relinquished 4.5 yards per play or more in all however one game.
Oklahoma quarterback John Mateer affords a game administration position by design. The Sooners, however, lead all opponents by practically three yards per drive in beginning discipline place.
The Sooners win because the protection controls tempo and the offense cashes in on brief fields.
I need nothing to do with the whole in this game given it may fall steeply in both route of tempo.
All this takes is Venables’ protection containing Chambliss inside the pocket and forcing the Rebels into long-field drives and the Sooners will squeeze the life out of this game.
THE PLAY: Oklahoma -5.5 (-105, BetMGM)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and faculty soccer for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that replicate market worth while monitoring tendencies to mitigate danger.
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