PGA Tour best bets, odds, predictions for TPC Southwind…
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We’ve reached the postseason on the PGA Tour.
This week’s FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tenn., kicks off a three-tournament playoff, with the finale coming at the Tour Championship in East Lake at the end of the month.
Seventy gamers are in the area this week, however only the top 50 in the FedEx Cup Standings will qualify for the BMW Championship, the center leg of this end-of-season dash. The top 30 after that will make it to East Lake. Kapeesh?
Because of its area measurement and the course it’s performed on, the St. Jude is generally the most unpredictable tournament in the PGA Tour postseason. Justin Rose made us fairly comfortable when he gained this pet as a 100/1 lengthy shot in 2025, however he’s not the only roughie to elevate the trophy. Abraham Ancer was a 50/1 outsider when he took it down in 2021, and column-mainstay Lucas Glover was 90/1 in 2023.
In between those darkish horses had been family names: Brooks Koepka (2019), Justin Thomas (2020), and Hideki Matsuyama (2024). Will Zalatoris was thought of a rising energy when he gained the St. Jude at 30/1 in 2022.
Scottie Scheffler, still caught on just one win (and 11 top-5 finishes) in 17 begins in 2026, is the chalk at +480, more than one-third the value of second-favorite Rory McIlroy at 15/1.
After Rory, there are 10 golfers between 20/1 and 30/1 at FanDuel Sportsbook. That’s the place we’ll start our card:
2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks
Top of the board: Matt Fitzpatrick (27/1, FanDuel)
Last seen lacking the lower at the Open Championship, bettors are seemingly abandoning ship on Matt Fitzpatrick this week. Fine by me.
If you draw a line by way of the Open, which is an outlier event in the grand scheme of a PGA Tour season, you’ll see nothing however success for the Sheffield native in 2026. Fitzpatrick gained three PGA Tour tournaments (one among which was a team event), racked up seven top-5 finishes (including two runners-up), and was twenty fifth or better in 13 of his 18 begins.
Before his MC at Royal Birkdale, Fitzpatrick had completed T3 at the Scottish Open, fourth at the Travelers, twenty second at the U.S. Open, and second at the Canadian Open.
Fitzpatrick also appears to get pleasure from the circumstances of TPC Southwind, as he’s bought three top-10 finishes in seven begins in Memphis.
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Sleeper: Tom Kim (52/1, DraftKings)
Tom Kim’s inventory has risen steadily down the stretch of the 2026 campaign.
Not only did he snag a win at the Scottish Open, however he’s bought three top-5 finishes in his most latest six begins, including at last week’s Wyndham Championship.
Despite his sizzling kind, bookmakers continue to deal tempting costs on Kim. Not that we’re complaining.
Tom Kim, of South Korea, hits from a sand lure on the fifteenth gap during the final round of the Wyndham Championship golf tournament in Greensboro, N.C., Sunday, August 9, 2026. (Copyright 2026 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.) AP Photo/Chuck Burton
Long shot: Sungjae Im (95/1, DraftKings)
It’s been a irritating campaign for Sungjae Im and his backers. The South Korean has flirted together with his third profession win (and first since 2021) on various events, however he just hasn’t been in a position to get over the hump.
Recent outcomes have been fairly encouraging, though, as Im has posted three top-15 finishes in his last 4 outings, including a T14 at the Wyndham.
Throw in some strong course historical past — Im completed sixth right here in 2023 and has three top-20s in his last three visits — and an incredible quantity, and there’s sufficient to get in on Im.
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, however a long-profiting sports activities bettor with 10 years of experience in the playing business. He loves utilizing game concept to assist punters win bracket swimming pools, discover lengthy pictures, and learn to beat the market in mainstream and area of interest sports activities.
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